Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.007109 0.007991 0.008954 0.010089 0.011390 0.012840 0.014584
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005697 0.006888 0.008304 0.010122 0.012409 0.015212 0.018937
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004822 0.006109 0.007724 0.009919 0.012856 0.016696 0.022171
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004356 0.005735 0.007543 0.010121 0.013756 0.018783 0.026404
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003927 0.005337 0.007257 0.010106 0.014308 0.020405 0.030162
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003455 0.004819 0.006734 0.009674 0.014175 0.020980 0.032386
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003170 0.004533 0.006501 0.009622 0.014576 0.022369 0.036043
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003059 0.004485 0.006604 0.010077 0.015798 0.025180 0.042449
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002771 0.004140 0.006223 0.009723 0.015663 0.025728 0.044980
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002543 0.003869 0.005930 0.009479 0.015672 0.026504 0.048012
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002397 0.003714 0.005805 0.009496 0.016123 0.028100 0.052824
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002339 0.003693 0.005895 0.009884 0.017270 0.031099 0.060886
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002178 0.003497 0.005684 0.009739 0.017455 0.032361 0.065715
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002062 0.003368 0.005578 0.009776 0.017992 0.034396 0.072624
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001921 0.003184 0.005361 0.009580 0.018045 0.035442 0.077468
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001853 0.003121 0.005351 0.009775 0.018899 0.038281 0.087066
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001760 0.003008 0.005240 0.009760 0.019317 0.040225 0.094852
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001622 0.002802 0.004943 0.009345 0.018836 0.040086 0.097270
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001542 0.002699 0.004830 0.009294 0.019141 0.041799 0.104952
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001528 0.002717 0.004948 0.009732 0.020584 0.046423 0.121710
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001424 0.002557 0.004709 0.009392 0.020207 0.046527 0.125443
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001340 0.002430 0.004527 0.009158 0.020050 0.047169 0.130945
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001289 0.002364 0.004461 0.009174 0.020496 0.049436 0.142012